Does Home Court Advantage Count? Here’s a Look at Its Impact on NBA Betting Odds

Mayroon bang epekto sa isang sports team ang paglalaro sa kanilang lugar, sa harap ng kanilang mga fans? Yes, the team’s homecourt plays a crucial role in determining the potential winner in a matchup.  

In sports, playing “at home” has a special meaning for teams and players, and this information becomes beneficial to serious basketball betting fans. In this article, we’ll explain the homecourt advantage and how it impacts the NBA betting odds and your choice of bets.

How Home Court Advantage Makes a Difference in Sports

Ang fans and supporters, tulad natin, ay malaki ang tulong sa mga players o buong team. Sa aming palagay, the crowd’s passion can spell the difference between winning and losing.

Ang naging karanasan ng mga players at teams nung pandemya ay isang magandang halimbawa na nag-papakita ng epekto ng tinatawag nating “home court advantage” o ang impluwensiya ng fans. If we can still remember, sinuspinde nuon ang mga games, which frustrated a lot of players and of course, fans. LeBron James as one of the popular players who dismissed the idea of playing without an audience.

When James was asked about that possibility before the bubble, he scoffed at the idea, saying that “it’s impossible”. He added that he plays for his teammates and his fans, and basketball is all about it. And we can understand it—it’s a bit awkward and uninspiring na mag-laro na walang hiyawan and suporta sa fans, at kadalasan hindi natin naipapakita ang ating galing.

Often, it’s all about the crowd

But we all know that James’s decision then wasn’t just a personal whim but a product of experience and tradition in sports. The fans’ energy, vibes, and community support make a difference in sporting outcomes. 

Sa aming obserbasyon, ang mga basketball fans ay kadalasang the teams’ “sixth player”. Marami nang pagkakataon ang nagpapakita na ang home crowd can create magic in players and teams. Halimbawa na lang nung panahon na may laro ang Team Gilas natin laban sa South Korea, para sa place sa FIBA Asia Cup 2021. It was a nail-biter, and our home crowd back roared with approval then when SJ Belangel made a three, and clinched the win. If you can still remember, crowd’s roar that time was partly responsible for Gilas’ win over South Korea after eight years.

Then, the opposite can happen—the crowd’s boos and jeers can frustrate the other players, pushing them to play erratically and lose the game.

In some cases, travel also impacts players’ health

Bukod sa maingay na suporta ng fans, science will also tell us the other factors that impact players’ performance. Ilan sa mga factors na nakikita namin ay ang pag-babago a time zone, the discomfort of air travel, and the disruption in the players’ circadian rhythms.

Makikita natin na kapag ang players ay matagal ang biyahe, lalo na kapag patungong ibang bansa, nagkakaroon sila ng ‘jetlag” na may epekto sa kanilang laro. Kadalasan, ang players ay pagod at walang tulog, na nagiging dahilan ng kanilang pagkatalo. Kung ikaw naman ay parte ng home team, you’re well-rested, so expected that you’ll perform better.

Stats Behind the Team’s Home Court Advantage

The “homecourt advantage”, whether in basketball or other team sports, is apparent in the match results. Makikita natin sa mga nakalipas na resulta ng NBA betting na laging lamang ang home team.

• Gaano kadalas manalo ang home team sa NBA Finals? Playing in front of the home crowd gives a slight edge in the NBA Finals. Excluding the 2020 NBA bubble, 55 of the 76 NBA teams with this advantage during the Finals went on to win the Larry O’Brien Championship Trophy.

• Palagi bang nananalo ang home team sa Game 1 ng NBA Finals? Not every time. But bettors will be surprised that 58 out of the 76 teams that started the finals series at home won the first game, which translates to a 0.763 win percentage.

• Panalo ba lagi ang home team kapag naglalaro na sa Game 7 ng NBA Finals? Like in Game 1, the homecourt advantage also wields its magic in the decider. Based on our analysis, of the 19 deciders in NBA Finals history, the home team won 15 times for a 0.789 win percentage. Here’s an interesting side note: only the Cavaliers, Celtics, and Bullets have won the championship while on the road!

Kung hindi ka pa rin kumbinsido, heto ang isa pang importanteng stat: alam mo ba na batay sa resulta ng mga nakaraang NBA betting, the home teams often win 60% of all their games! 

Thanks to the power of the homecourt advantage, betting sites often rely on this information to determine the lines and NBA betting odds. Often, bookmakers use three values in computing the final spread: the home team rating, away team rating, and home court value as the final piece of the formula.

Should You Always Bet on Teams with the Home Court Advantage?

Heto ang klarado: totoo ang homecourt advantage, at ito’y makikita natin sa basketball at NBA betting. If you’re a new bettor or just want to boost your odds, we suggest na dapat alam mo kung paano basahin ang markets at betting odds ng mga sikat na basketball betting sites.

If the old stat holds that 60% of all home teams win their games, then it’s safe to say that betting on the home team will result in a winning bet. This basketball betting approach can work if you’re after the winner or wagering on Moneyline. 

Here’s the thing: don’t rely on the homecourt info kapag ikaw ay tataya sa isang sportsbook. Gaya ng sabi namin, mas epektibo ang pagkilala sa home team if you’re betting on the winner (Moneyline). For other NBA betting options, gaya ng over/under, spread, prop bets, and even in-play betting, mas mainam na mag-research, mag check ng stats, and consider H2H. 

In these types of bets, knowing the home team isn’t enough to guarantee a winning bet— you’ll need a thorough understanding of both teams, the players’ stats and previous performances, historical match-ups, and even players’ health.